@InProceedings{SilveiraCava:2012:TeTeIn,
author = "Silveira, Virginia P. and Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de
Albuquerque",
affiliation = "{} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Teste de tend{\^e}ncia e incertezas dos {\'{\i}}ndices
clim{\'a}ticos para a regi{\~a}o do litoral de S{\~a}o Paulo
usando o modelo Eta-CPTEC",
booktitle = "Anais...",
year = "2012",
organization = "Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, 17. (CBMET).",
keywords = "{\'{\i}}ndices clim{\'a}ticos, precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o
extrema, incertezas.",
abstract = "Neste estudo foi feito o c{\'a}lculo de 6 {\'{\i}}ndices de
extremos clim{\'a}ticos de precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o para as
simula{\c{c}}{\~o}es do clima futuro (2040-2099) do modelo
regional Eta-CPTEC. Os {\'{\i}}ndices que apresentaram
signific{\^a}ncia estat{\'{\i}}stica acima de 95% foram o SDII
e o R10mm. As an{\'a}lises de incerteza desses {\'{\i}}ndices
mostram que elas s{\~a}o maiores entre o fim da d{\'e}cada de
2070 e fim da d{\'e}cada de 2080. As tend{\^e}ncias mostram que
nas simula{\c{c}}{\~o}es do clima futuro as chuvas ser{\~a}o
mais intensas, por{\'e}m concentradas em um menor n{\'u}mero de
dias. ABSTRACT: This study was performed through the computation
of six indices of climate extremes of precipitation for
simulations of future climate of the Eta-CPTEC regional model. The
indices statistically significant above 95% were SDII and R10mm.
The uncertainty analyses of these indices show that they are
higher at the end of the 2070s and 2080s. The trends show that in
simulations of future climate the precipitation will be more
intense, but occurring in fewer days.",
conference-location = "Gramado, RS",
conference-year = "2012",
label = "lattes: 6731029375224939 2 SilveiraCava:2012:TETEIN",
language = "pt",
targetfile = "64JB.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "30 abr. 2024"
}